Minnesota vs Iowa 9/29/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Minnesota winning 43% of simulations, and Iowa 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Minnesota commits fewer turnovers in 40% of simulations and they go on to win 54% when they take care of the ball. Iowa wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Donnell Kirkwood is averaging 84 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 59%. Damon Bullock is averaging 96 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IA -6

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